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Really like that you're scoring these on whether the power can actually be energized, not on the headline capex. Most coverage still leads with how many megawatts of compute got announced — you're leading with whether the electrons can show up. That's the right thing to anchor on.

The Alberta deal is the tell. Bringing your own 1.4GW isn't really a generation story — it's a way to route around the interconnection queue. But it doesn't escape the real bottleneck: a captive gas plant still needs the same high-voltage transformers and switchgear on multi-year lead times, grid-tied or not. So the binding constraint isn't "power" in the abstract — it's the equipment that energizes the site, and that's where the scarcity actually holds.

Which makes the "bring your own power" trend a signal in itself: nobody builds a $10B captive plant unless they expect grid scarcity to last years. The day transformer and switchgear lead times normalize is the day that premium starts to compress — that's the clock I'd watch on these.

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