Discussion about this post

User's avatar
EevaResearch's avatar

Great map of the capital stack. Even with $3T in committed capital, the physical layer is gating deployment.

Morgan Stanley's $1.5T "gap for outside money" is assuming the projects can get built. But 30–50% of 2026 US datacenter capacity is already delayed or canceled. Its not because of funding, but because of transformer lead times (128 weeks, up from 12–18 months pre-2020) and grid interconnection queues (2,000+ GW waiting, 4–7 years in core markets).

The Blackstone/CPP AirTrunk deal and the Equinix/GIC joint ventures are bets that the power and equipment supply chains can scale faster than the capital.

The financing is there. The electrons are not. Which constraint breaks first between capital deployment or physical buildout?

No posts

Ready for more?